How are geopolitics reshaping market volatility in 2026?
2026 began with geopolitics related volatility, as the World Economic Forum brought world leaders together. A key volatility catalyst late in the month was renewed U.S. tariff threats toward Europe, framed around a dispute connected to Greenland, which triggered a risk-off move across many global equities. This quickly de-escalated as the Americans reached an agreement on access to Greenland, which were replaced by tariff threats from the US against Canada were renewed following Mark Carney’s speech in Davos. By now, investors are much less reactive to the often-threatened tariffs as compared to April 2025, taking more of a wait and-see approach. Concerns of conflicts in Iran and Venezuela also emerged in January, causing some volatility, particularly in energy markets.
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